Lock in on March 10th live broadcast: Tony XC from Star Academy returns to win Megabit mysterious merchandise and Aicoin membership!

The ratio of BTC long to short positions on the OKX platform has risen, reaching a high of 3.29 today, which is a new high in the past week. The data shows that the number of long positions is dominant, and the main force is bearish.

The main large order can be combined with the position difference indicator to judge the main force to open and close the position. Open PRO members can follow the main trading operations in time

Odaily Planet Daily News: Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer of Bitwise Asset Management, stated on CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" program that the current decline in Bitcoin prices is a "short-term setback," and the market will soon find its footing and realize that it is actually a long-term optimism for this asset and the entire cryptocurrency market. Matt Hougan added that White House cryptocurrency and AI director David Sacks has stated that the United States will seek a "budget neutral strategy to acquire more Bitcoin, provided that these strategies do not impose incremental costs on American taxpayers." The correct question should be: Does this executive order make Bitcoin more likely to become a geopolitically important currency or asset in the future? Will other governments follow the example of the United States and establish their own strategic reserves? For me, the answer is yes. The reason why this question is important is because it determines whether Bitcoin is priced at $80000 per coin or $1 million per coin. （CNBC）

Click on the link to enter the live stream: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/6766256335 Hello everyone, I am Tony the Elder. I will be live streaming for everyone at exactly 7 pm tonight. The most talked about topic recently is whether the bull market is still here and whether the bull market has started to retrace from its peak of 110000 yuan. So far, the largest retracement decline is about 30%. Looking back at the bull market in 2021, when the bull market fell from 65000 yuan to 28000 yuan, the maximum retracement space was as much as 50%. When everyone thought that the bull market had started to move towards the bear market, the daily bullish candlestick retraced and opened up the second end of the bull tail. Although it has now fallen below the range of 110000-90000 yuan, it cannot be concluded that the bull market will move towards the bear market. Many people believe that falling below 70000 yuan is the official start of the bear market, but I do not think so. This bull market will be the most powerful bull market. With... As the cryptocurrency market becomes increasingly compliant, it will be difficult for the bull market to continue its previous strong gains. Therefore, this round of bull market will be the biggest bull in history, and we are optimistic about the outbreak in the second half of the year, Friends who reserve spot stocks suggest finding a spot to enter the market in the second half of the year. The previous rise can only be said to be a bull market for Bitcoin, and altcoins have not yet started a bull market. After the market rebounds, most people will mainly buy Bitcoin spot stocks. The cheaper some mainstream altcoins are, the more low-priced they will choose to enter the market. I suggest a spot layout of 3/7 layout. There is still a good chance for altcoins to rise in the second half of the year. I firmly believe that the bull market has been going on, but it has not yet erupted. If the real Bitcoin falls below 70000, it will not be far from the second phase of the bull market. Bitcoin weekly view, based on the Bitcoin closing situation, the weekly level has not yet hit bottom and will continue to decline. The previous low of 78000 is not the bottom of the weekly line, and it is also very difficult to sell. The support range below the weekly line is 73000-75000. Intraday view: The 4-hour level continues to decline, and there is currently no obvious effective rebound. It is still recommended to focus on low to high levels for the day. Tonight's live broadcast will bring you real-time short-term orders, including the layout of mainstream Ethereum knockoff market in the future. Weibo account: Old Tony XC Assistant WeChat ID: ETH229922 QQ group number: eight hundred and ten million seven hundred and ninety-four thousand and ninety-five Meeting number: 676-625-6335 Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is for communication and sharing purposes only. It does not represent AICoin's position or viewpoint and does not constitute any investment advice. Based on this investment, there may be external contacts, which have nothing to do with AICoin, and the consequences shall be borne by oneself.

According to Cointelegraph, although the cryptocurrency fear and greed index on March 10th continued to show "extreme fear," a Bitcoin market simulation still predicts a bullish trend in the second half of 2025. Cryptocurrency researcher Mark Quant analyzed the price of Bitcoin using Monte Carlo simulations and provided a six-month forecast for the cryptocurrency asset. The Monte Carlo model is a computational method that simulates price prediction and evaluates risk through random sampling. It can generate multiple possible scenarios based on variable factors such as volatility and market trends. Based on an initial price of $82655, this study estimates that the average final price of Bitcoin by the end of September 2025 will be $258445. However, from a broader perspective, the price of Bitcoin is expected to fluctuate between $51430 (5th percentile return) and $713000 (95th percentile return). However, it is important to note that Monte Carlo models rely heavily on the geometric Brownian motion (GBM) model, which assumes that asset values follow a random path with constant drift parameters. In this analysis, the inherent volatility of Bitcoin is incorporated into the model, capturing long-term historical performance and patterns while adapting to future changes. Essentially, Monte Carlo analysis is like rolling a dice with uncertainty. Last week, Quant also emphasized the correlation between the total cryptocurrency market value and the global liquidity index, indicating that the total market value may reach a new high of over $4 trillion in the second quarter of 2025.