In the speech community live broadcast: When the wave of interest rate cuts overwhelms the market, should ETH flee or increase its position? Detailed analysis of ETH's recent situation and future trends in the live broadcast room, implementing long-term order layout!

Click on the link to enter Tencent Meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/9850662513 Good evening,everyone! I am your Da Bin teacher! Today's market situation is not very good. Let's write less about the geopolitical conflict. The information available is almost the same as everyone. In general, although the United States has not ended, the preparations should be almost done. Trump's mouth does not know whether it is good for Iran, and now it has been unable to access the Internet in many regions of Iran. However, Iran also said that it has never asked to grovel in front of the White House. This war is very different from the Russia-Ukraine conflict. More like a geopolitical conflict, it is mainly reflected in oil prices, especially USOL, which has always been recommended The price of US oil can better reflect the direction of war, and the rise in oil prices has also driven domestic inflation in the United States. Powell talked about this topic at today's Federal Reserve interest rate meeting. Geopolitical conflicts and tariffs are both reasons that hinder the Fed's interest rate cuts. Powell still insists on looking at the data, which is expected. Everyone has already fully anticipated that there will be no interest rate cut in June, and the key point is the dot matrix. The dot matrix for 2025 is still two times, which is quite good, much better than the expected one or zero times by many investors in the market. Therefore, the probability of a rate cut in September has increased again. Although there is only one expected rate cut in 2026, it is still very early, and the Federal Reserve will adjust it at any time. Therefore, for the market, this dot matrix is relatively neutral. In Powell's speech, the focus was also on the impact of tariffs and geopolitical conflicts on interest rate adjustments. Powell believes that tariffs still need to be determined by the final data, but believes that the rise in energy caused by war is short-term, which means that the rise in inflation is short-term. He also believes that the US economy is still healthy, with a low unemployment rate and no demand for interest rate cuts in the labor market. Therefore, overall, Powell's speech today can be considered neutral. The next step is to see the market's reaction. Looking back at the data of BTC, the turnover rate has slightly increased, but the increase is not significant. The factor of turnover is still closely related to geopolitical conflicts. However, Powell has said that the impact of conflicts on inflation is short-term, and it is unclear whether it can alleviate investors' concerns about rising oil prices. BTC that participates in turnover is still mainly short-term investors. From the perspective of supporting data, the range of $93000 to $98000 is still the best support. Even though there has been significant price volatility recently, investors in this area have not shown signs of panic and exit, but have remained very stable. Investors in the range of $100500 to $105000 are continuing to pile up, which is currently considered good, but the risk coefficient will increase if they continue to pile up. There won't be any important macro data on Thursday and Friday, and the market dominance has temporarily returned to geopolitical conflicts. Operation suggestion: BTC 104000 long first target to see 105500 second target to see 106750 ETH 2500 long, first target at 2580, second target at 2650 Join the language community communication group to obtain more services 1. Real time troubleshooting (online one-on-one question answering and sorting) 2. Professional technical analysis and theoretical learning 3. Construction and improvement of trading system- 4. Live streaming courses every day, contract termination, real-time order making, to help you successfully land! Every day, there are teachers in the group who provide precise positioning to answer questions and offer free guidance. Tencent Meeting Live: 985-066-2513 DingTalk Group Number: 120320009032 Every day, there are teachers in the group who arrange precise positioning to answer questions and provide free guidance Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is for communication and sharing purposes only. It does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin and does not constitute any investment advice. Based on this investment, there may be external contacts, which have nothing to do with AiCoin, and the consequences shall be borne by oneself.