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[Federal Reserve Officials' Cautious Statements Trigger Fluctuations in Rate Cut Expectations] On November 14, the U.S. dollar rose due to cautious remarks from Federal Reserve officials regarding rate cuts. Kashkari, Harker, and Mester all made cautious comments about a potential rate cut in December. Federal Reserve Chair Powell previously stated that another rate cut in December is not a foregone conclusion. According to LSEG data, the market's probability expectation for a December rate cut has risen to 44%, up from 30% a week ago. The end of the government shutdown will bring a large amount of backlogged data, which could influence rate expectations, but the timing and reliability of the data release remain unclear.