[Economists Raise 2026 U.S. Economic Growth Forecast, Expect Slower Fed Rate Cuts] On November 25, a survey by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) showed that the median forecast for U.S. economic growth in 2026 is 2%, up from 1.8% in October and 1.3% in June. The inflation rate is expected to be 2.9% this year, slightly declining to 2.6% in 2026. Job growth is projected to remain weak, with an average monthly increase of 64,000 non-farm jobs in 2026, lower than the October forecast of 75,000. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.5% throughout the year. Economists predict that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December and by another 50 basis points in 2026, bringing the policy rate closer to a neutral level.
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More >Wintermute:市场结构更健康,盘整条件已具备
[Wintermute: Healthier Market Structure, Consolidation Conditions in Place] Wintermute stated that although digital assets have been impacted by the stagnation of AI-driven trends and adjustments to Federal Reserve expectations, the internal market structure is now healthier. Major cryptocurrencies are showing clearer relative strength, market sentiment has been cleared, and excess leverage has largely dissipated. The total open interest in perpetual contracts has dropped from approximately $230 billion at the beginning of October to around $135 billion, primarily due to deleveraging of long-tail assets and systemic capital outflows. Spot market depth and liquidity performed better than expected during the holiday week, with leverage reduction and spot-dominated capital flows making the recovery more orderly. If the macroeconomic environment remains stable, the market may gain more breathing room. The next few days will set the tone for entering the final month of the year.
某巨鲸从币安提取99.6万枚ASTER,总持仓达441万美元
[A certain whale withdrew 996,000 ASTER from Binance, with total holdings reaching $4.41 million] Monitoring by The Data Nerd shows that 5 hours ago, a certain whale (address 0x1f6...8e7d) withdrew 996,000 ASTER from Binance, valued at approximately $1.17 million. Currently, this whale holds a total of 3.838 million ASTER, with a total value of approximately $4.41 million.
Matrixport:比特币近期反弹由情绪修复驱动,非新牛市信号
[Matrixport: Bitcoin's Recent Rebound Driven by Sentiment Recovery, Not a New Bull Market Signal] Matrixport released an analysis stating that Bitcoin's recent rapid rebound was primarily driven by the recovery of market sentiment following a significant prior correction. The report mentioned that sentiment indicators had previously fallen to extreme levels, increasing the probability of a short-term rebound, and the current phase of rebound has already materialized. However, the analysis suggests that this is not a signal for the start of a new bull market. The current market structure is complex, with low risk appetite, making this rebound more suitable for short-term tactical trading rather than the beginning of a trend-driven rally.
香港证监会敲定数字资产交易及托管监管方案
[Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission Finalizes Regulatory Framework for Digital Asset Trading and Custody] Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) Chief Executive Officer Julia Leung stated that Hong Kong is committed to building a secure and reliable digital asset platform. The regulatory framework for digital asset trading and custody services is currently being finalized, marking the last two pieces of the regulatory 'puzzle' for establishing a robust digital asset ecosystem. The adoption of tokenized financial products in Hong Kong is increasing, with the related market size reaching approximately $3 billion, including green bonds, SFC-approved money market funds, and retail gold products.
Monad’s Debut Shows Why FDV Forecasts Broke as Bitcoin Fell
Monad’s listing illustrates how low-float launches can anchor valuation even when macro conditions point in the opposite direction, leaving traders mispricing outcomes that hinge more on supply than on sentiment.