10x Research pointed out in an article on X platform that Bitcoin is currently at the intersection of Federal Reserve policies, US dollar trends, and complex liquidity narratives. Although the probability of a rate cut in December has risen to 84%, historical experience shows that the key lies in policy statements rather than the rate cut itself. A rare triggered US dollar indicator has just lit up, marking the fifth time in Bitcoin's history that past results have not been optimistic. The Treasury Department's cash account (TGA) may release over $600 billion in liquidity, but similar situations have been accompanied by a significant decline in Bitcoin. The implied probability of interest rate reduction in treasury bond bond futures market in December is 84%, and the probability of keeping interest rate unchanged in January is 65%. 10x Research emphasizes that if the third consecutive interest rate cut is not accompanied by dovish forward guidance, the boosting effect of risk assets may be limited.

Founder of Confirmation Predicts Polymarket Visits to Surpass Coinbase by 2026 Confirmation founder Nick Tomaino posted on X platform, predicting that Polymarket has become one of the websites with the highest global traffic, with 15.8 million visits in October, an 80% increase from August, while Coinbase traffic has declined during the same period. At present, large financial institutions are injecting billions of dollars of liquidity into the predictive market, exploring predictive transactions in sports, entertainment, culture, and other fields. More and more people regard Polymarket as a reliable source of information. Nick Tomaino predicts that Polymarket platform traffic will surpass Coinbase by 2026.

Bitcoin options worth $14 billion expire this Friday The $14 billion worth of Bitcoin options will expire this Friday.

Maji has added multiple BTC orders, with a total holding value of 18.63 million US dollars On chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring shows that "Maji" added multiple BTC orders half an hour ago and currently holds 9 BTC ($788000). As of now, "Maji" holds three multi position positions with a total value of 18.63 million US dollars and a floating profit of 537000 US dollars: 4750 ETH positions (14.07 million US dollars) with an opening price of 2886.4 US dollars; HYPE holds 110000 units (3.77 million US dollars) at an opening price of 32.71 US dollars; BTC holds 9 coins ($790000) at an opening price of $87895.5.

Strategy: When BTC falls to an average cost price of $74000, assets remain 5.9 times convertible bonds Strategy stated on the X platform that if the price of Bitcoin falls to its average cost price of $74000, the company's holdings of Bitcoin assets will still be 5.9 times that of convertible debt; If the price of Bitcoin drops to $25000, the ratio will be 2.0 times.