Polymarket predicts that the probability of Claude Fable 5 resuming US visits will drop to 41%, with a 16% drop within 24 hours

According to Seer Prophet Channel monitoring, the probability of "Claude Fable 5 will be restored for US customers before June 26th" on Polymarket has dropped to 41%, a decrease of 16% in 24 hours. The US government has implemented export controls on the grounds of national security, and Anthropic suspended global access to the Claude Fable model on June 9th, 5 days after its release. Anthropic executives have submitted a proposal to US Commerce Secretary Lutnik, promising to work with the White House to address security vulnerabilities in the Mythos and Fable models. Anthropic co-founder and chief computing officer Tom Brown and public policy director Sarah Heck are leading negotiations with Trump administration officials, and Anthropic and Commerce Department representatives did not respond to requests for comment.