Click on the link to enter the meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/dm/WDoUjmnHwwGt
Today's market is experiencing explosive levels of news
US Iran negotiations release positive signals, oil prices plummet in response
US stock market index and S&P both hit historic highs
Risk appetite instantly rebounds, Bitcoin stabilizes above 64000
But I have to remind you - don't just focus on the good news
The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in September has soared to 56.9%
This basin of cold water could splash down at any time
🚨 Tonight at 8 o'clock in the live broadcast room, break down and explain clearly:
Daily level: MA30 is suppressed at 64149, which can only be considered as an oversold rebound
Four hour level: MACD red bar 128, bullish momentum abundant
One hour level: normal pullback during the upward trend, RSI 54.46
Fifteen minute level: There is still a need for short-term consolidation
Conclusion: The large cycle is still being repaired, and the strongest small cycle is four hours
✅ Price 64107, hourly EMA55 at 63675, all 8 candlesticks closed above EMA
✅ The number of crossings is 0, with a deviation of 0.68% - a standard one-sided bullish trend
✅ All three conditions for being long are met: stable EMA+support confirmation+kinetic energy depletion
But! Key offensive and defensive positions should be closely monitored:
🎯 Upper pressure: 64500 (daily MA30) → 65000 (integer threshold)
🎯 Lower support: 63675 (EMA55) → 63000 (4-hour MA10)
Tonight's core strategy:
✅ Direction: Long, but not chasing high
✅ Wait until the interval between 63700-63800 is stepped back and there is a bottom pattern or long shadow before entering
✅ Stop loss 63200, first target 64500, second target 65000
✅ Fall below 63200, unconditional stop loss and exit the market
On chain signal:
SpaceX still holds 18000 BTC and has not sold them
BlackRock ETHA reverse split improves liquidity
Samsung phones natively integrate stablecoins, covering 800 million users
But the funding rate is still bearish, and bears are still resisting
Maximum risk:
The expectation of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates is heating up, and hawkish rhetoric may pour cold water on it at any time
⏰ Tonight at 8 o'clock, start broadcasting on time
👉 Click me to make an appointment, use the system to counter messages, and use rules to deal with fluctuations!
Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.
