Polymarket data shows that the probability of the CLARITY Act being legislated in 2026 is 15%, with a related contract trading volume of approximately $11.62 million. According to Kalshi data, the probability of the bill becoming law before July 1, 2027 is 30%, and before January 1, 2028 it is 50%. French Hill, Chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, is pushing for the relevant reforms to be written into law. The United States Senate's motion to close debate on H.R. 3633 will be voted on as early as 22:15 (UTC+8) on September 15th. The Senate Banking Committee previously pushed forward the bill, revising the text to cover regulatory authority of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), consumer protection, illegal finance, DeFi, and intermediary regulation. （Bitcoin.com News）
