The probability of Bitcoin reaching $100000 is 25%, and the probability of reaching $150000 is 2%

On September 18th, Bitcoin rose to $81377 during intraday trading. According to data from Myriad Markets, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $84000 before reaching $55000 is 84%, with a contract trading volume of $242000. Polymarket data shows that the probability of Bitcoin reaching $85000, $90000, $95000, and $100000 by the end of 2026 is 80%, 59%, 39%, and 25%, respectively, with contract trading volume exceeding $67 million; The probability of touching $150000 is 2%, and the probability of falling to $55000 is 12%. According to Kalshi data, the probability of Bitcoin breaking through $100000 before 2027 is 25%. (Source: Bitcoin.com News)