Kalshi and Polymarket predict that the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100000 by 2026 will drop to 34%

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Kalshi predicts that the implied probability of Bitcoin reaching $100000 in the market by 2026 will drop to 34%, which had previously reached 46% on September 23. After Bitcoin fell below $83000, the probability of the contract falling back. The probability of Polymarket pricing Bitcoin at $100000 before December 31, 2026 is 34.5%, and the probability of reaching that level before March 31, 2027 is 50.5%. (Source: Bitcoin.com News)

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Today 2026-09-29
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