CME data shows changes in probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged
According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 98.6% (98.8% before the decision), until July it is 96.5% (94.6% before the decision), and until September it is 96.1% (92.7% before the decision). The probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.4% in June (1.2% before the resolution), 3.4% in July (5.4% before the resolution), and 3.8% in September (7.2% before the resolution).