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The probability of normalcy returning to the Strait of Hormuz in the Polymarket has dropped to 9%, and Ibrahim Rezai called the ceasefire in Lebanon a red line

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The probability of Polymarket's "Strait of Hormuz returning to normal before June 30th" has dropped to 9%, a decrease of 9% in 24 hours, and the total trading volume has exceeded 28 million US dollars. Ibrahim Rezai, spokesperson for the National Security and Foreign Policy Committee of the Iranian Parliament, stated that the ceasefire issue in Lebanon is Iran's red line, and Iran will not back down on related issues. Iran does not trust the United States and is preparing for a possible war. At the same time, Iran will continue to negotiate with the United States.

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