Andy: The probability of the CLARITY bill passing is extremely low, and it may be split into independent bills in the future

According to Lookonchain, a wallet associated with Cumberland has purchased a total of 3.5 million PONS from Gate Exchange in the past 4 days, with a total amount of approximately $2.78 million and an average purchase cost of approximately $0.8 per PONS.

[AfD Wins Saxony-Anhalt Election, Bitcoin Tax Exemption Debate Heats Up] According to Cryptopolitan, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party secured first place in the Saxony-Anhalt state election with 43.8% of the vote, winning 39 out of 83 seats, while the CDU's vote share dropped to 17.2%. The AfD advocates retaining the 12-month tax exemption policy for Bitcoin holdings and opposes including private mining and Lightning Network node operations under commercial taxation. Meanwhile, Germany's Ministry of Finance plans to abolish this tax exemption period to generate an additional €1 billion annually.

Konrad Kleinfeld, an analyst at State Street Global Advisors, said that the European Central Bank may release an open-ended signal while raising interest rates on Thursday, and the market should pay attention to whether the 2.5% deposit facility rate is seen as tight enough and whether the ECB will reserve space for its actions in December. LSEG money market data shows that traders have fully priced a 0.25% interest rate hike on Thursday, raising the deposit rate to 2.5%.

F2Pool co-founder Wang Chun stated on X platform that the recent rise of Zcash is mainly driven by narrative, and its market value ranking is close to Solana and Hyperliquid, but the actual application capability of Zcash is not comparable to Solana and Hyperliquid.

The Rollup podcast host Andy stated that the probability of the CLARITY bill passing is extremely low, with an actual rate of only 3% to 5%, far below Polymarket's forecast of 18%. Andy stated that there is a general consensus within Washington D.C. that the bill cannot be passed, and the CLARITY bill may be split into separate bills targeting specific segments such as stablecoins, asset tokenization, perpetual contracts, and predictive markets.