On the eve of the release of September non farm payroll data in the United States, there is a divergence between the predicted market and the expectations of Wall Street investment banks

On the eve of the release of the September non farm payroll report in the United States, Kalshi data showed that the probability of the market betting on the number of new jobs added exceeding 90000 was close to 60%, and the probability of exceeding 100000 was about 50%. Wall Street investment banks are cautious in their forecasts, with Goldman Sachs expecting an increase of 80000 people and a 4.1% unemployment rate; Bank of America expects to add 60000 people, including 50000 in the private sector. After New York Fed President Williams downplayed the urgency of raising interest rates, federal funds futures showed that the probability of a rate hike next month decreased from about 71% to 50%.