Bitcoin nears $81,000 ahead of Fed decision as ZEC jumps 8%

An anonymous account, swisstony, profited approximately $12.25 million through sports betting, ranking first on the Polymarket platform. This account has accumulated approximately $657 million in bets, with an average return of 1.86%, and has not made any new purchases for two consecutive months. Analysis shows that 68% of accounts with bets exceeding $100 are currently operating at a loss. (Source: Financial Times)

Binance will implement a last trade price protection mechanism for BULLAUSDT perpetual contracts at 14:00 on October 28th. During the protection period, the mark price will be calculated based on the contract's recent average trade price, with a maximum fluctuation of approximately ±1% per second, and the funding rate cap will be adjusted to ±0.005%. This mechanism will continue until the BULLA spot price converges and forms a stable index price.

The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision at 2:00 AM on October 29th. The market widely expects the target range for the federal funds rate to remain unchanged at 3.75%-4.00%. Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Credit Suisse, and BNY Mellon predict a pause in rate hikes in October and a 25 basis point increase in December. Moody's, Nomura, TD Securities, Huatai Securities, and Morgan Stanley expect rates to remain unchanged in October. Bank of America believes the Fed has reason to raise rates in October. The focus will be on the wording of the Fed's statement, the signals from Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh at the press conference, and the impact of the meeting on the probability of a December rate hike. AI Interpretation: The market consensus on maintaining the status quo in this interest rate decision is extremely high, reflecting that monetary policy has entered a period of observation. The expectation of a pause in rate hikes has anchored short-term interest rate trends, effectively alleviating market concerns about sudden policy changes. The divergence among institutions regarding the future path of interest rate hikes highlights the interplay between inflation and economic growth. The Fed's wording will be the core guide for market expectations, determining the pricing logic of funds regarding the year-end policy direction.

Majors outpaced bitcoin across the board as tech stocks extended a climb.

Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenef stated that the U.S. tokenization market needs enduring regulatory rules. During the Q3 earnings call, Tenef said the SEC's innovation exemption was a positive step, but regulatory uncertainty hinders investors from committing assets to the tokenization market. Robinhood plans to launch private company stock tokens overseas and is exploring a compliance path in the U.S. that meets investor verification requirements. In Q3, Robinhood's cryptocurrency revenue declined 55% year-over-year to $120 million, and its notional cryptocurrency trading volume decreased 38% to $50 billion.